How to find a probability with the normal distribution
To find a probability with the normal distribution, convert the variable to a standard score and evaluate the cumulative distribution function. This method applies whenever a continuous random variable is known or assumed to follow a normal distribution .
The setup
Identify the population mean , the population standard deviation , and the target boundary values . Define the required probability bound, choosing among a left-tail , a right-tail , or an interval .
The steps
- Calculate the z-score for each boundary value using .
- Look up the calculated z-score in a standard normal (Z) table or use a cumulative distribution function (CDF) calculator to find the left-tail probability .
- Adjust the cumulative area for your specific bound: use for right-tail probabilities, or for intervals.
Checking the result
Verify that the final probability is strictly between 0 and 1. Confirm that target values of close to the mean yield cumulative left-tail probabilities near 0.5, and values far above the mean yield cumulative probabilities near 1.
Common errors
A frequent error is using the variance instead of the standard deviation in the denominator of the z-score formula. Another standard mistake is failing to subtract the table value from 1 when evaluating a right-tail ('greater than') probability.
Worked example
The heights of a population are normally distributed with cm and cm. Find the probability that a randomly selected person is between 165 cm and 180 cm tall.
Let . We need to find .
Step 1: Calculate z-scores for both boundaries.
Step 2: Look up cumulative probabilities in the Z-table.
Step 3: Subtract the smaller area from the larger area to find the interval probability.
The probability is 0.5328.
FAQ
Run your own problem
Drag an image or PDF of the problem here, or click to upload
Ctrl + V to paste
References: OpenStax Introductory Statistics, Chapter 6: The Normal Distribution · Khan Academy, Normal Distribution Unit
See also